Over 2.5 goals is one of the most popular football betting markets. The odds are attractive and with the right stats and data, it can be an easy market to predict.
That being said, the keyword is “with the right stats and data”. So, this post aims to explain the meaning, provide guide on how to spot the right teams and leagues best for placing over 2.5 goals bets.
In this post, we will take a look at:
When I started betting on football over 10 years ago, I used to spend hours online trying to find tips and predictions for over 2.5 goals because of how attractive the odds were and how often most football matches ended with 3 goals or more but I almost always ended up picking the wrong games that ended with 1-0 or 1-1.
So unlucky! 🙂
This post will serve as the one-stop shop to answer all your questions regarding the infamous Over 2.5 goals market and also point you towards the right direction of finding the right matches and leagues for this market.
PS: If you are looking for Over 2.5 Goals Tips for today and tomorrow backed by high level in-depth stats, pls click here to go to our over 2.5 goals prediction page
The over 2.5 goals market in football betting means that you will be placing a bet that the match will end with 3 or more goals after fulltime (including additional time)! Your bet will only win if the match ends with 3 goals or more, anything below that will mean loss of your bet.
The winner of the match or who scores the most goals doesn’t matter.
Here are examples of score lines that would mean your Over 2.5 goals bet is a win; 2-1, 2-2, 3-0, 4-0, 0-3, 1-2 etc.
If the match’s score is 1-1, 0-0, or 1-0, you will lose the bet.
So, now that you understand the concept of Over 2.5 goals, let’s talk about how to properly predict games that will end in over 2.5 goals.
Predicting that a match will end with 3 goals or more might sound straightforward but in reality, there’s a lot that needs to be taken into consideration.
There isn’t a one size fits all strategy to predict matches that will end in over 2.5 goals. Some punters might use head to head statistics, some might chose to opt in for streak and some other people might look at the overall league stats.
One key advise is to ensure that whatever strategy you make use of to filter out teams best for over 2.5 goals, you should always ensure you have both teams in mind. Do not lean solely on the home team or solely on the away team.
Why? well, because one team might be scoring lots of goals but the other is letting in very few goals, which may mean they’ll cancel each other out.
Here are some angles on how to predict over 2.5 goals in a match.
Streak simply means that a team (or teams) is consistently been involved in games with a certain result.
So, if a team’s result has ended with 3 goals or more in their last 5 matches played, they are on an Over 2.5 goals streak.
So, to find teams that might be a good idea for placing over 2.5 goals bets, you could use their last 3, 5 or 10 games streak stats as a good reference point.
How do you find teams on an Over 2.5 goals streak?
If you have an account on Footy Amigo, we have a page called STREAK where you can see teams on a streak in various markets. (watch video below)
Head to Head (H2H) is another way of getting and filtering teams and matches with high prospects of ending with 3 goals or more.
By checking the past results of when teams have played against each other, you will be able to see a trend. A trend that you can capitalise on.
When using H2H data, you want to look for teams whereby both teams score and conceive goals whenever they meet and the end results are always 3 goals and above.
Here’s a side note though, H2H stats data can be a good indication of what’s going to likely happen but it’s always advisable to also check the current form of the teams in the current season.
The average goal stats for a team will give you the information you need to know about how they are currently performing this season.
To get teams that are good for over 2.5 goals bets, its advisable to check the average goals stats for both the home and away team.
The perfect fixture for a potential over 2.5 goals bet is one where the average total goals is 3 goals and above.
Below is a screenshot of how you would create a strategy on Footy Amigo using average total goals for both teams.
An over 2.5 goals bet means you are expecting goals to be scored. So, even though your over 2.5 goals bet would win regardless of who scores the goals, the best fixtures for such bet would be ones where the home team is known to score goals and the away team is also known to score goals as well.
So, to really find those fixtures for today or tomorrow that are best for an over 2.5 goals bet, your filtering process should take into consideration teams that score goals.
Ideally, you want a home team whose stats shows they attack and score goals and the same should apply for the away team. You want an away team that is known for scoring goals when playing away.
Such match up will call for a fixture filled with goals.
This one is very interesting because statistically speaking – football matches always have more goals in the second half than first half.
With this in mind, it means that matches where goals occur very early in the first half might indicate that more goals would be scored later in the match.
So, you could filter out good teams for over 2.5 bet by checking their first half goals stats and history.
If the data points to the fact that the team(s) will have a first half goal, this can be a good indication that the match will end with 3 goals or more.
Below is just a small sample of the first half goals stats on Footy Amigo that you could use to find quality matches for over 2.5 goals prediction
A high percentage of matches that ends with BTTS (Both Teams Scoring) also ends with Over 2.5 goals.
So, using BTTS stats and data can be a good way to find teams that are good potential for over 2.5 goals bets and predictions.
Hope this makes sense?
Let’s assume a match is 1-1 (both teams have scored and drawing). What tends to happen as the match reaches the end?
Well, one of the team (or both of them) starts attacking more and chasing the win. A win in such match will mean over 2.5 goals.
Finding the right matches for over 2.5 goals predictions should not only rely on checking “over 2.5 goals” stats, using stats and data that are not directly tied to the end result but can play a part in achieving the end result is a smart move to make.
There are some leagues that are known for being very high scoring leagues.
Here’s a short list of 10 football leagues that are known to be notorious for having over 2.5 goals:
When people search the term “Over 2.5 goals football tips”, they are most likely looking for a list of matches that are predicted to end with 3 goals or more but I would argue that this isn’t the way to bet if you are serious about long-term success or profitability.
The reason for this is because tips and predictions are basically other people’s hunches and opinions.
Instead of looking for tips, you should focus on more “strategies”.
The real question should be how to create an over 2.5 goals strategy that I can rely on, on a daily basis to help me find and filter out matches that are best betting on an over 2.5 goals outcome.
Looking for the right way to get Over 2.5 goals tips and predictions?
Watch the video below.
In the section about how to predict over 2.5 goal matches, I touched on using Streak stats and data as an anchor to finding teams best for this market.
If a team (or teams) are on a streak, it can be an indication that they will continue the streak.
It’s a bit tricky though because streaks do not last forever, this is why a good rule of thumb will be to check the streak stats (or data) of both teams and not just the home team.
At Footy Amigo, we have a dedicated Streak Page that shows teams on a streak in various markets such as the Over 2.5 goals market.
You will be able to see the teams, the number of times they’ve had the streak, the percentage (the higher the better) and the odds.
See screenshot below.
With this information, you should have all the data infront of you that you need to make an informed decision on the fixtures to place an over 2.5 goals bet.
Because we understand that streak data should not be one-sided, you will be able to see streak data for both the home team, the away team and both teams.
Here’s a video showing you how the streak page works on Footy Amigo.
Betting on the over 2.5 goals market or any market for that matter should be backed by data and stats. It should not be backed by hunches, predictions or gut feelings.
With the information shared in this post, you should have an idea on how to find fixtures that are perfect for the over 2.5 goals market.
If you really want to become a profitable football bettor, you need to do what 99% of other bettors won’t do – which is “not relying on being saved by another person or waiting for handouts”
Instead, you should leverage tools like Footy Amigo (*cough* *cough* our tool which you can use for free for 7days without paying a dime)
Click here to create a free account. (it’s free for 7days)
Footy Amigo helps you bet smart and with confidence by providing you with the right information at the right time — before you place any bet. Its the secret tool used by smart and profitable bettors and traders to beat the bookies daily.
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I want to know the teams with 2.3 goals